🏛️politicsEnds 8mo
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Yes7.1%
92.8%No
$36K
Total Vol
$500
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-0.1%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related Markets
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?
Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?
FAQ
What is "Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 7.1% and No at 92.8%. This is based on $36,155.297 total volume.