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🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes8.5%
91.5%No
$9K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$13K
Liquidity
+1.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?"?
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%. This is based on $9,278.375 total volume.
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