🏛️politicsEnds 28d
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?
Yes10.5%
89.5%No
$7K
Total Vol
$17
24h Vol
$12K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$852.38
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
FAQ
What is "Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?"?▾
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 10.5% and No at 89.5%. This is based on $7,011.612 total volume.