O
₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes16.5%
83.5%No
$49K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$17K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$506.06
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 16.5% and No at 83.5%. This is based on $48,713.293 total volume.
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Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | 16.5% Odds — OctoTrend