🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 14d

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
$600K
Total Vol
$85K
24h Vol
$30K
Liquidity
-0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$39900.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 0.3% and No at 99.8%. This is based on $600,396.7 total volume.
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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? — OctoTrend