O
🏛️politicsEnds 6mo

Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Yes5.4%
94.6%No
$253
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$675
Liquidity
-0.3%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1751.85
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

100%+0.1%

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

0%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

6%-0.7%

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

1%+0.2%

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

1%+0.1%

Correlated Markets

T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

same

T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand

opposite

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

independent

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

independent

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?"?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 5.4% and No at 94.6%. This is based on $252.937 total volume.
Mercados
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | 5.4% Odds — OctoTrend