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🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Yes22.5%
77.5%No
$133K
Total Vol
$19
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$344.44
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%. This is based on $132,532.22 total volume.
Mercados