O
🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Miguel DĂ­az-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Yes61.0%
39.0%No
$179K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$34K
Liquidity
+5.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$63.93
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Miguel DĂ­az-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

20%

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

0%-0.7%

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

21%-4.0%

Will Miguel DĂ­az-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

1%+0.3%

Correlated Markets

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

same

Mauthausen: Francesco Maestrelli vs Miguel Damas

opposite

Mauthausen: Miguel Damas vs Jaime Faria

independent

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

same

Mauthausen: Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold

same

FAQ

What is "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 61.0% and No at 39.0%. This is based on $178,932.8 total volume.
← Mercados
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | 61.0% Odds — OctoTrend