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cryptoEnds 8mo

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes22.5%
77.5%No
$1.5M
Total Vol
$5K
24h Vol
$54K
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$344.44
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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FAQ

What is "Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%. This is based on $1,483,908 total volume.
Mercados
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 22.5% Odds — OctoTrend