Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
About This Market
This market will resolve to āYesā if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, (48.384157880601364Ā° N, 37.10809761679785Ā° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to āNoā. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this marketās resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", āAssessed Russian Controlā, āAssessed Russian Advance In Ukraineā, or āAssessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hoursā will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Related Markets
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Correlated Markets
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?