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โ‚ฟcryptoEnds 1mo

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes13.5%
86.5%No
$45K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$9K
Liquidity
-4.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$640.74
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 13.5% and No at 86.5%. This is based on $44,622.754 total volume.
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Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | 13.5% Odds โ€” OctoTrend