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Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
$67K
Total Vol
$33K
24h Vol
$29K
Liquidity
-21.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$106.19
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?"?▾
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 48.5% and No at 51.5%. This is based on $66,646.164 total volume.
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Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? — OctoTrend