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🏛️politicsEnds 29d

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes31.0%
69.0%No
$4K
Total Vol
$81
24h Vol
$15K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$222.58
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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FAQ

What is "Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?"?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 31.0% and No at 69.0%. This is based on $3,921.472 total volume.
Mercados
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | 31.0% Odds — OctoTrend