Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2%+0.8%

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

1%+0.4%

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1%

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1%

Correlated Markets

FAQ