O
cryptoEnds 8mo

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?

Yes0.4%
99.6%No
$364K
Total Vol
$1K
24h Vol
$39K
Liquidity
-0.7%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$22122.22
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Related Markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

11%-2.0%

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

30%-1.0%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

34%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

52%+4.0%

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

17%+0.5%

Correlated Markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

opposite

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

opposite

Iran leadership change by December 31?

independent

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

same

Will North West release an album by December 31?

same

FAQ

What is "Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?"?
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 0.4% and No at 99.6%. This is based on $363,610.12 total volume.
Mercados
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? | 0.4% Odds — OctoTrend