O
₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Yes11.5%
88.5%No
$101K
Total Vol
$391
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-4.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%. This is based on $101,345.98 total volume.
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