₿cryptoEnds 8mo
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes23.5%
76.5%No
$33K
Total Vol
$113
24h Vol
$6K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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FAQ
What is "US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 23.5% and No at 76.5%. This is based on $32,659.27 total volume.