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🏛️politicsEnds 3d

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes83.5%
16.5%No
$10K
Total Vol
$108
24h Vol
$15K
Liquidity
-1.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$19.76
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democrats wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Liberal Democrats if they are officially nominated by the Liberal Democrats and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Liberal Democrats. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

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FAQ

What is "Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?"?▾
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democrats wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Liberal Democrats if they are officially nominated by the Liberal Democrats and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Liberal Democrats. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 83.5% and No at 16.5%. This is based on $9,718.343 total volume.
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Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | 83.5% Odds — OctoTrend