O
🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Yes45.0%
55.0%No
$10K
Total Vol
$5
24h Vol
$25K
Liquidity
-1.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$115.05
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 45.0% and No at 55.0%. This is based on $10,008.802 total volume.
Mercados
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | 45.0% Odds — OctoTrend