🐙OctoTrend
₿cryptoEnds 3mo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes
3.5%
No
96.5%
$3.1M
Total Vol
$26K
24h Vol
$31K
Liquidity
+0.8%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$2716.90
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Related Markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

85%-1.0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

2%+0.1%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

1%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

10%

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

14%-9.0%

Correlated Markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

opposite

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

independent

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

independent

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

independent

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?"?▾
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 3.5% and No at 96.5%. This is based on $3,130,885.5 total volume.
← Markets