🐙OctoTrend
🎬entertainmentEnds 4mo

Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?

Yes
98.7%
No
1.3%
$14K
Total Vol
$3
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
+0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1.32
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Related Markets

Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026?

97%-1.1%

Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by June 12?

50%+1.5%

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same

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?

independent

Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

same

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

independent

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

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FAQ

What is "Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 98.7% and No at 1.3%. This is based on $13,577.392 total volume.
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