
Iran leadership change by April 30?
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Related Markets
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Correlated Markets
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?