🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 2mo

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
$2.7M
Total Vol
$87K
24h Vol
$109K
Liquidity
+6.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$70.94
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 58.5% and No at 41.5%. This is based on $2,657,169.8 total volume.
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