🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 1d

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes
2.7%
No
97.3%
$11.4M
Total Vol
$2.9M
24h Vol
$126K
Liquidity
+0.4%
24h Change
Trade SignalC
BUY YES
Direction
5.3%
Edge
3604%
ROI
0.1%
Kelly
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$0.00
If No wins
$0.00
Market Signals
5.5
Score
0.00
Momentum
489x
Vol Ratio
Yes
Vol Spike
$1083K
Whale
50%
Consistency

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 2.7% and No at 97.3%. This is based on $11,361,756 total volume.
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