๐Ÿ™OctoTrend
๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 6mo

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes
98.8%
No
1.3%
$11.9M
Total Vol
$219K
24h Vol
$165K
Liquidity
+0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1.27
If No wins
$-100.00
Market Signals
5.4
Score
+0.00
Momentum
38x
Vol Ratio
Yes
Vol Spike
$32K
Whale
46%
Consistency

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?

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Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

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Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

same

FAQ

What is "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 98.8% and No at 1.3%. This is based on $11,938,596 total volume.
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