🐙OctoTrend
₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
$89K
Total Vol
$5K
24h Vol
$41K
Liquidity
-12.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$119.78
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 45.5% and No at 54.5%. This is based on $88,875.49 total volume.
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