O
🏛️politicsEnds 11mo

Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Yes1.3%
98.8%No
$1K
Total Vol
$31
24h Vol
$5K
Liquidity
-11.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$7900.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Related Markets

Will Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

0%

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

68%-0.5%

Will Mike Cubbard win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

11%-3.8%

Will Orla Nugent win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

0%

Will Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

10%-0.1%

Correlated Markets

Will Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

independent

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

independent

Will Mike Cubbard win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

opposite

Will Sheila Garrity win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

opposite

Will Niall Murphy win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?"?
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 1.3% and No at 98.8%. This is based on $1,140.481 total volume.
Markets