O
🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Yes1.6%
98.5%No
$30K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+0.4%
24h Change

About This Market

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Related Markets

Will Raymond Heck be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?

2%-0.1%

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

77%

Will Ray Curtis be the Republican nominee for MT-01?

1%

Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

1%-0.1%

Will Raymond Petersen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

0%

FAQ

What is "Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?"?
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 1.6% and No at 98.5%. This is based on $30,214.742 total volume.
Markets