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🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes79.5%
20.5%No
$242K
Total Vol
$238
24h Vol
$12K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$25.79
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

same

Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Podemos (PODEMOS) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

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FAQ

What is "Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?"?▾
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 79.5% and No at 20.5%. This is based on $242,217.34 total volume.
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