O
🏛️politicsEnds 12d

Trump announces US troop reduction in Germany by May 15?

Yes100.0%
0.1%No
$3K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$318K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$0.05
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military publicly and officially announces a reduction in the number of U.S. troops stationed in Germany by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A reduction in the number of U.S. troops stationed in Germany refers to any announcement that the overall number of United States military personnel stationed in Germany will be reduced. Announcements that certain categories, units, or subsets of United States military personnel will be removed from, transferred out of, or relocated away from Germany will count. Announcements restricted to individual cases, routine rotations, regularly scheduled troop movements, or temporary deployments that do not indicate a reduction in U.S. troop presence in Germany will not qualify. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe.

Related Markets

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

97%+72.0%

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

2%+1.3%

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

97%+50.7%

Trump out as President by April 30?

0%-0.1%

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%+0.1%

Correlated Markets

Will Trump dance today?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

same

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

same

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

same

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

independent

FAQ

What is "Trump announces US troop reduction in Germany by May 15?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military publicly and officially announces a reduction in the number of U.S. troops stationed in Germany by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A reduction in the number of U.S. troops stationed in Germany refers to any announcement that the overall number of United States military personnel stationed in Germany will be reduced. Announcements that certain categories, units, or subsets of United States military personnel will be removed from, transferred out of, or relocated away from Germany will count. Announcements restricted to individual cases, routine rotations, regularly scheduled troop movements, or temporary deployments that do not indicate a reduction in U.S. troop presence in Germany will not qualify. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 100.0% and No at 0.1%. This is based on $2,700.049 total volume.
← Markets