O
🏛️politicsEnds 17mo

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes63.0%
37.0%No
$225
Total Vol
$225
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$58.73
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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FAQ

What is "Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?"?
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 63.0% and No at 37.0%. This is based on $224.792 total volume.
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