O
cryptoEnds 7mo

Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

Yes8.8%
91.1%No
$13K
Total Vol
$48
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+1.6%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

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FAQ

What is "Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?"?
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 8.8% and No at 91.1%. This is based on $13,376.456 total volume.
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