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β‚ΏcryptoEnds 8mo

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Yes7.0%
93.0%No
$125K
Total Vol
$22
24h Vol
$8K
Liquidity
β€”
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1150.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.

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FAQ

What is "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 7.0% and No at 93.0%. This is based on $124,827.82 total volume.
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