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🤖aiEnds 2mo

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes
35.5%
No
64.5%
$21K
Total Vol
$141
24h Vol
$943
Liquidity
+7.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$181.69
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

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FAQ

What is "Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 35.5% and No at 64.5%. This is based on $20,801.45 total volume.
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