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β‚ΏcryptoEnds 27d

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Yes83.5%
16.5%No
$780
Total Vol
$765
24h Vol
$9K
Liquidity
+26.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$19.76
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œYes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

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FAQ

What is "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?"?β–Ύ
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œYes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 83.5% and No at 16.5%. This is based on $779.592 total volume.
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