๐Ÿ™OctoTrend
๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 6mo

Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?

Yes
32.5%
No
67.5%
$12K
Total Vol
$7K
24h Vol
$18K
Liquidity
+24.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$207.69
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. โ€‹A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House press briefing?

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opposite

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

same

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

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Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House press briefing?

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2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

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FAQ

What is "Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. โ€‹A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 32.5% and No at 67.5%. This is based on $12,335.189 total volume.
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