πŸ™OctoTrend
πŸ›οΈpoliticsEnds 2mo

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes
37.5%
No
62.5%
$1.9M
Total Vol
$40K
24h Vol
$35K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$166.67
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Related Markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

Netanyahu out by June 30?

6%

Trump out as President by June 30?

4%-0.4%

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

0%-0.2%

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

59%+6.0%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

independent

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

same

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

same

FAQ

What is "Starmer out by June 30, 2026?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 37.5% and No at 62.5%. This is based on $1,916,357.9 total volume.
← Markets