O
๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 27d

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 3, 2026?

Yes3.1%
96.9%No
$50
Total Vol
$50
24h Vol
$188
Liquidity
-32.4%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$3074.60
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to โ€œNoโ€. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

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FAQ

What is "Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 3, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to โ€œNoโ€. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 3.1% and No at 96.9%. This is based on $50 total volume.
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