🐙OctoTrend
cryptoEnds 2mo

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%
$89K
Total Vol
$29K
24h Vol
$7K
Liquidity
-1.9%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$5455.56
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%+0.1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

10%+2.0%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

95%+2.0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

1%-0.1%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

same

Netanyahu out by June 30?

independent

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

same

FAQ

What is "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 1.8% and No at 98.2%. This is based on $88,839.66 total volume.
Markets