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🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Yes6.5%
93.5%No
$443K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$55K
Liquidity
-1.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1438.46
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 6.5% and No at 93.5%. This is based on $443,210.34 total volume.
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