📈economyEnds 8mo
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
22.0%
No
78.0%
$1K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$777
Liquidity
+5.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$354.55
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
FAQ
What is "EU debt downgrade before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 22.0% and No at 78.0%. This is based on $1,343.505 total volume.