🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 2mo

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes
23.5%
No
76.5%
$608K
Total Vol
$13K
24h Vol
$36K
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$325.53
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 23.5% and No at 76.5%. This is based on $608,225.1 total volume.
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