🔬scienceEnds 1mo
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Yes
96.5%
No
3.5%
$331
Total Vol
$331
24h Vol
$14K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$3.63
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
FAQ
What is "Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 96.5% and No at 3.5%. This is based on $330.8 total volume.