Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Related Markets
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Correlated Markets
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Trump out as President by June 30?