🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes
2.4%
No
97.7%
$10.6M
Total Vol
$176K
24h Vol
$223K
Liquidity
-0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$4155.32
If No wins
$-100.00
Market Signals
4.9
Score
+0.00
Momentum
55x
Vol Ratio
Yes
Vol Spike
$40K
Whale
20%
Consistency

About This Market

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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FAQ

What is "Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?"?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 2.4% and No at 97.7%. This is based on $10,646,256 total volume.
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