Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

4%+0.7%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%-0.1%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

96%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

46%-0.5%

Correlated Markets

FAQ