🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Trump out as President by May 31?

Yes
1.3%
No
98.7%
$31K
Total Vol
$14K
24h Vol
$55K
Liquidity
-0.7%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$7592.31
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

1%-1.3%

Trump out as President by April 30?

0%

Trump out as President by June 30?

4%-0.8%

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%+0.1%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%

Correlated Markets

Will Trump dance today?

independent

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

opposite

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

opposite

Trump out as President by April 30?

independent

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Trump out as President by May 31?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 1.3% and No at 98.7%. This is based on $31,088.258 total volume.
← Markets