🐙OctoTrend
🌤️weatherEnds 1mo

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Yes
24.0%
No
76.0%
$339K
Total Vol
$12
24h Vol
$96
Liquidity
+6.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$316.67
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.

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FAQ

What is "Named storm forms before hurricane season?"?
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 24.0% and No at 76.0%. This is based on $339,431.16 total volume.
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