₿cryptoEnds 1mo
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Yes
2.9%
No
97.0%
$362K
Total Vol
$170K
24h Vol
$74K
Liquidity
+0.3%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$3289.83
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
FAQ
What is "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 2.9% and No at 97.0%. This is based on $361,942.4 total volume.