🌤️weatherEnds 1mo
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%
$46K
Total Vol
$611
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
+0.7%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$2172.73
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
FAQ
What is "Will a hurricane form by May 31?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 4.4% and No at 95.6%. This is based on $45,595.137 total volume.